Security in Iraq : a framework for analyzing emerging threats as U.S. forces leave /
David C. Gompert, Terrence K. Kelly, Jessica Watkins.
Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2010.
xxiv, 71 p. : ill. (some col.) ; 23 cm.
083304771X (pbk. : alk. paper), 9780833047717 (pbk. : alk. paper)
More Details
Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2010.
083304771X (pbk. : alk. paper)
9780833047717 (pbk. : alk. paper)
contents note
Introduction -- Political and security conditions of U.S. withdrawal -- Future U.S. security responsibilities in Iraq.
general note
"National Defense Research Institute."
"Prepared for the Office of the Secretary of Defense."--T.p.
A critical question surrounding the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq is Iraq's internal security and stability. Although the U.S. withdrawal plan is designed with care to avoid weakening Iraq's security, the end of U.S. occupation may alter the strategies of the main Iraqi political actors, each of which has enough armed power to be able to shatter Iraq's domestic peace. In view of the potential for insecurity in Iraq, the United States cannot afford to take a passive or reactive stance. To anticipate dangers and act purposefully, U.S. policy-makers need a dynamic analytic framework with which to examine the shifting motivations and capabilities of the actors that affect Iraq's security. This monograph offers such a framework.
catalogue key
Also available via the World Wide Web.
Includes bibliographical references (p. 57-71).
A Look Inside
Main Description
U.S. withdrawal could affect Iraq's internal security and stability, which could, in turn, affect U.S. strategic interests and the safety of U.S. troops and civilians in Iraq. U.S. policy-makers need a dynamic analytic framework with which to examine the shifting motivations and capabilities of the actors that affect Iraq's security. Within this framework, the United States should be able to contribute to continued strengthening of the internal security and stability of Iraq even as it withdraws its forces.
Table of Contents
Prefacep. iii
Figuresp. vii
Tablesp. ix
Summaryp. xi
Acknowledgmentsp. xxi
Abbreviationsp. xxiii
Introductionp. 1
Political and Security Conditions of U.S. Withdrawalp. 5
Backgroundp. 5
Conceptualizing Politics and Security in Iraqp. 7
Assessing the Dangersp. 15
Extremist Violencep. 15
Mainstream Armed Oppositionp. 20
Concentration and Abuse of Power by the GoI and the ISFp. 30
Capabilities and Calculations of the Main Actorsp. 33
Threat Interactionsp. 37
Direct Threats to U.S. Personnelp. 39
Extremistsp. 39
Main Opposition Groupsp. 41
Summary of Potential Threats to U.S. Forces and Other Personnelp. 43
Grounding Political Dangers in Economic Realitiesp. 43
Summarizing Dangers and Implications for U.S. Withdrawalp. 46
Future U.S. Security Responsibilities in Iraqp. 49
Security Functions That Must Transcend U.S. Force Withdrawalp. 49
Conclusions and Recommendationsp. 54
Bibliographyp. 57
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

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