Western Europe, 1979-2009 : a view from the United States /
Robert A. Levine.
Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 1998.
xvii, 61 p. : ill. ; 23 cm.
0833026488 (pbk.)
More Details
Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 1998.
0833026488 (pbk.)
general note
"MR-1000-OSD/A/AF"--P. [4] of cover.
"National Defense Research Institute, Arroyo Center, Project Air Force."
"Prepared for the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the United States Army, and the United States Air Force."
catalogue key
A Look Inside
Main Description
As the start of the European Monetary Union (EMU) approaches, Western Europe may be heading for troubles that could extend to the United States. The problem lies in the West European political economy.
Table of Contents
Prefacep. iii
Figuresp. vii
Tablesp. ix
Summaryp. xi
Acknowledgmentsp. xvii
Introductionp. 1
Two Decades: From Maastricht to Emu, from Emu to ...?p. 3
From Then to Nowp. 3
The Question Why?p. 5
The Economy of Western Europe Now: The Conventional Explanationp. 11
What Happens Next?p. 13
Original Schedule, Original Design, Original Hopesp. 15
Original Schedule, Original Design, Failed Hopesp. 15
Collapse or Significant Postponementp. 16
Muddling Throughp. 17
The Political Economies of the Big Fourp. 19
Germanyp. 22
1989-1991: Optimismp. 23
1992-1995: Realismp. 24
1996-1997: Pessimismp. 25
The Futurep. 27
Francep. 28
1981-1982: Radicalismp. 30
1983-1990: Reversalp. 31
1991-1995: Constraintsp. 32
1996-?: The Futurep. 33
The French Malaisep. 35
Italyp. 38
A.D. 476-1994: Diffusion and Confusionp. 39
1994-?: The Futurep. 41
The United Kingdomp. 44
1979-1988: The Thatcher Ascendancyp. 46
1989-1992: Thatcher Faltersp. 48
1992-1997: Major's Economic Victory and Political Lossp. 49
The Futurep. 51
Conclusions: A Worst Case and a Better Onep. 55
A Worst Case: Europe, the World, and the United Statesp. 55
Europep. 55
The Worldp. 57
The United Statesp. 57
A Better Alternativep. 59
What Is Needed?p. 59
But Is It Possible?p. 60
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